šŸŽ¤ Big Tech Earnings Week: Five Magnificent Seven Members Hit the Stage

If you thought the Fed decision was the main event this week, buckle up - we've got Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, and Amazon all reporting earnings.

šŸ˜Ž Market Vibes

🄱 Markets Open With a Yawn as Everyone Waits for the Fed's Big Reveal

The opening bell on Tuesday felt like watching paint dry - S&P 500 up to about 6,897, Dow inching ahead to about 47,752, and Nasdaq opening around 23,537. Not exactly fireworks, but hey, when you're sitting on record highs from Friday, sometimes you just need to chill and catch your breath. The real action? That's happening tomorrow when Fed Chair Jerome Powell either cuts rates (96% probability according to CME FedWatch) or surprises absolutely everyone and doesn't. Spoiler alert: he's cutting. The bigger question is what he'll say about December and whether this government shutdown mess is making things awkward for the decision-makers who usually love their data like crypto bros love white papers.

Speaking of data they don't have - thanks to the ongoing D.C. circus, we're still missing the September jobs report. So Powell and crew are flying somewhat blind, relying on vibes, private sector numbers, and probably some tarot cards. Markets seem perfectly fine with this chaos though, trading near all-time highs like it's no big deal that our government can't pass a budget to save its life.Hello,

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šŸŽ¤ Big Tech Earnings Week: Five Magnificent Seven Members Hit the Stage

If you thought the Fed decision was the main event this week, buckle up - we've got Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, and Amazon all reporting earnings. That's five of the Magnificent Seven dropping results in a 48-hour window starting Wednesday. Microsoft reports after the close tomorrow with analysts expecting $3.66 EPS and $75 billion in revenue (up 11% year-over-year). Then Thursday brings Apple with expectations around $1.77 EPS and $102 billion in revenue.

Wall Street is buzzing about whether these companies can justify their sky-high valuations. Microsoft is trading 23% higher this year and needs to show what those massive AI infrastructure investments look like. Apple, meanwhile, needs to address iPhone 17 demand and how Tim Cook's balancing act between Trump tariffs and Chinese manufacturing is playing out.

The stakes? These five companies alone carry enough weight in the S&P 500 that disappointing results could impact the entire market. But so far this earnings season, 87% of companies are beating EPS estimates, so the track record looks solid for tech to deliver.

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The Gold opportunity Wall Street is betting on

After years of pushing tech stocks and bonds, two of the biggest banks on the planet, Goldman Sachs and UBS, are sounding the alarm on something very different… Gold. Both firms just raised their year-end gold price forecasts… And it’s no wonder because even the most powerful institutions are watching the same signals: inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, even the trade wars… But in my opinion, I think there is more to the story than just that… And I want to show you why we could be at the very beginning of the ā€œGreat Gold Squeeze.ā€ So, jump in here and get all the details while you can.
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😓 Bitcoin Takes a Breather, Gold Can't Stop Falling

Bitcoin opened Tuesday trading around $113,800, down about 1.4% as crypto markets turned cautious ahead of the Fed meeting. After testing highs near $116,000 recently, BTC is consolidating while traders wait to see if Powell's rate cut and dovish commentary will reignite the bull run. Ethereum dropped harder, falling 3.7% to $4,090. The total crypto market cap slipped 1.5% to $3.93 trillion, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting at a neutral 50.

The interesting part? Despite price weakness, Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs are still seeing solid inflows. Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $149 million on Monday, their third straight day of gains, while Ethereum ETFs attracted $134 million with zero outflows. That's institutional money moving into position ahead of what many expect will be a lower-rate environment.

Gold, on the other hand, is having a rough day - down 1.8% to around $3,910 per ounce after rallying for nine straight weeks to hit record highs. The yellow metal is finally taking a breather as the "flight to safety" trade fades and traders lock in profits. Some analysts are saying this is just a healthy correction after an epic run, while others wonder if the trade tensions easing between the U.S. and China means gold's rally is cooling off.

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šŸ”„ Trade Talks Heat Up While Markets Stay Cool

Remember when everyone was freaking out about trade wars just a few weeks ago? Yeah, that's taking a back seat now. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said over the weekend that U.S.-China relations have "deescalated" and talks will resume this week in Malaysia. Markets loved that news on Monday, with tech and retail stocks surging on hopes that Trump's threatened 155% tariffs on Chinese goods might not actually happen.

Progress ahead of President Trump's meeting Thursday with President Xi has injected some optimism into the market. The October 10 selloff - when the market dropped nearly 3% on trade war fears - feels like ancient history now that both sides are talking again. Of course, Trump and Xi have a long history of sparring over issues like fentanyl and export controls, so nothing's guaranteed. But for now, Wall Street is digesting the news that both countries may be finding common ground.

The trade tensions had been weighing especially hard on tech stocks, since companies like Apple depend heavily on Chinese manufacturing. Any deal that prevents a full-blown trade war would be significant for the Magnificent Seven and could influence markets heading into year-end.

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šŸ’° Earnings So Far: Finance Sector Flexing, Everyone Else Looking Good Too

The finance sector is particularly strong - up 22.7% in earnings on 11.9% higher revenues, with 97.5% beating EPS estimates. Banks are reporting robust numbers, which tracks with the interest rate environment and consumer spending patterns. Even with recession fears and government dysfunction, companies are finding ways to grow.

The big test comes this week when we see if Big Tech can maintain this momentum. Analysts are estimating $257.83 in S&P 500 EPS for 2025 and $290.48 for 2026. If Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta deliver strong results and optimistic guidance, we could see markets push higher. If they disappoint? Well, that 87% beat rate might not matter much when the five heaviest companies in the index stumble.

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šŸŽ¬ Bottom Line

Tuesday's market is all about positioning for Wednesday's Fed decision and the earnings avalanche hitting Wednesday and Thursday. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq sitting near record highs, Bitcoin consolidating above $113k, and gold taking a breather after an epic rally, we're in one of those rare moments where everyone's just waiting to see which way the wind blows. The Fed's almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell's commentary about future cuts and how the government shutdown is affecting their decision-making process will be the real market mover. Then we find out if Big Tech can justify those astronomical valuations when five of the Magnificent Seven report in 48 hours. Buckle up, because the boring Tuesday setup is about to get very interesting very fast.

šŸ”„ What’s Heating Up This Week

Markets are moving - here's whats heating up with our partners:

āœŒļø Thanks for vibing with us.

āš ļø WARNING: Market data is subject to rapid change. Verify current information before making trading decisions.

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