👀 Futures Point Higher as Wall Street Eyes Thanksgiving Week Rebound

Markets are kicking off the shortened Thanksgiving week with cautious optimism Monday morning.

Author

Jason Paloma
November 24, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 12 minutes

😎 Market Vibes

👀 Futures Point Higher as Wall Street Eyes Thanksgiving Week Rebound

Markets are kicking off the shortened Thanksgiving week with cautious optimism Monday morning. S&P 500 futures climbed around 0.6%, while Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 0.9% and Dow futures added 0.3% as traders positioned for a potential rebound after November's AI-driven selloff knocked major indices down 3-6% for the month.

Bitcoin crawled back above $86,000 after briefly testing the $80,000 level Friday - a 31% plunge from October's all-time high near $126,000 that has crypto traders wondering if the party's over or if this is just another mid-cycle shake-out. Gold held steady around $4,050 per ounce, while crude oil hovered near $58 per barrel as energy markets digested ongoing supply concerns.

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🤞 Fed Rate Cut Hopes Spark Friday's Late Rally

Friday's market action told two very different stories. The morning session looked grim as tech and crypto continued their November nosedive, but comments from New York Fed President John Williams about potential December easing sparked a furious afternoon comeback. Williams suggested monetary policy remains "modestly restrictive" and hinted the Fed still has "room for further adjustment" - music to traders' ears after weeks of rate-cut uncertainty.

CME FedWatch Tool odds for a December quarter-point cut surged from 39% to over 70% following Williams' remarks, providing the exact catalyst beaten-down bulls needed. The S&P 500 still ended November down over 3%, but Friday's bounce kept hopes alive that this correction is a healthy pullback rather than the start of something uglier.

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🤖 AI Stocks Search for a Bottom After Brutal Month

The November AI reckoning continued right into Monday's pre-market action, with Nvidia bouncing between modest gains and losses after dropping over 3% Friday. The AI darling has now fallen roughly 29% from its October peak near $180, raising uncomfortable questions about whether sky-high valuations finally caught up with the sector.

Alphabet bucked the trend with shares climbing over 2% in premarket trading following positive buzz around its upgraded Gemini 3 AI model. Even Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff chimed in over the weekend, claiming Gemini 3 represents a leap so significant he's ditching ChatGPT after three years of daily use - quite the endorsement when you're trying to justify tech valuations.

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🚨 Crypto Winter Warning Signs Flash Red

The sell-off triggered massive liquidations - over $2.2 billion in leveraged crypto trades got wiped out on November 21 as the market purged excess speculation. Some analysts argue this is healthy deleveraging, pointing to Bitcoin's historical tendency for 20-30% corrections even during bull runs. Others aren't so sure, warning that if BTC decisively breaks below $80,000, much lower levels could follow.

Ethereum fared even worse, plunging below $3,000 and currently trading around $2,820 - down nearly 19% year-to-date despite 2025 starting with such promise. The broader crypto market fear index hit multi-year lows as reality set in that not every AI and blockchain project deserves a billion-dollar valuation.

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🍗 Thanksgiving Week Setup: Light Volume, Big Moves?

With markets closed Thursday for Thanksgiving and only a half-day Friday session (closing at 1 p.m. ET), this week typically sees thin trading volumes - which can either mean boring sideways action or sudden volatility spikes when large orders hit illiquid markets. Economic data will be sparse, with October new home sales Wednesday being the only major report before the holiday.

Earnings remain in focus with reports from Alibaba, Dell, Best Buy, HP, Workday, and several other retailers and tech names due out Tuesday and Wednesday. These results could provide crucial insights into consumer spending patterns heading into the critical holiday shopping season - especially with inflation still running hot and the Fed playing hardball on rates.

Small-cap stocks showed relative strength Friday, with the Russell 2000 jumping 1.5% as rate-cut hopes boosted sentiment for rate-sensitive smaller companies. The index now sits just shy of its 2022 record high, significantly outperforming large-caps in November despite the broader market selloff.

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🎬 Bottom Line

Monday's pre-market bounce suggests traders aren't ready to throw in the towel just yet, but November's damage can't be ignored. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all posted losses for the month despite their year-to-date gains remaining impressive at 12-15%. The real test comes in December when the Fed meets again and observers will see if Friday's rate-cut optimism was justified or just wishful thinking from a beaten-down market desperate for good news.

With Bitcoin testing critical support, AI stocks searching for a floor, and volatility refusing to fade quietly, the next few weeks will tell us whether this was a healthy correction or the first crack in 2025's impressive rally. Either way, holiday weeks tend to produce surprises - so traders are keeping position sizes reasonable and stops tight as volume thins out.

🔥 What’s Heating Up This Week

Markets are moving - here's whats heating up with our partners:

✌️ Thanks for vibing with us.

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