Markets Find Their Sea Legs After Greenland Drama

Relieved, slightly dazed, but ready to party

😎 Market Vibes

🦺 Markets Find Their Sea Legs After Greenland Drama

Thursday's opening had all the energy of someone who just dodged a geopolitical bullet - relieved, slightly dazed, but ready to party. The S&P 500 kicked off at 6,921, the Dow opened around 49,201, and the Nasdaq started near 23,440 as traders collectively exhaled after Trump's Davos speech ruled out using military force over Greenland. Nothing says "risk-on" quite like a president deciding NOT to invade Denmark's territory.

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🔥 Earnings Season Heats Up With Corporate Heavyweights

If Wednesday's rally was the appetizer, Thursday's earnings menu is the five-course meal. GE Aerospace, Procter & Gamble, Intel, Abbott Labs, and others are reporting their quarterly results, and Wall Street's watching closely. P&G kicked things off before the bell with fiscal Q2 earnings of $1.88 per share on $22.2 billion in revenue - basically matching expectations while navigating consumers trading down to cheaper private label options. The stock dipped as the new CEO acknowledged softer conditions but noted plans for stronger second-half results.

Meanwhile, GE Aerospace saw orders surge, showing that when companies need jet engines and aerospace tech, they're still writing checks. Intel's after-hours report has analysts positioned for what they're watching as potentially solid PC and server demand - the chipmaker's gotten a slew of upgrades heading into this print, suggesting Wall Street's curious about a potential turnaround story.

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🌊 Bitcoin Trades Water While Gold Makes Historic Moves

While equities bounced back Wednesday, Bitcoin remained stubbornly stuck in neutral, hovering around $89,900 - up modestly from recent lows near $87,600 but still well below the psychological $100K level that seemed possible just weeks ago.

Meanwhile, gold continues its run, trading around $4,830 per ounce Thursday morning after touching a record $4,887 on Wednesday. The yellow metal's 65% gain in 2025 marked its best year since 1979, and 2026's already adding to that tally. Geopolitical uncertainty, elevated Treasury yields, and a softer dollar have created notable conditions for precious metals - and silver's not far behind, also posting historic gains.

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📈 Oil Prices Rise on Kazakhstan Production Disruption

However, Wednesday saw those gains evaporate as WTI dropped back to around $59.5, weighed down by geopolitical tensions and anticipated inventory builds. Trump's renewed Greenland threats and European tariff escalation raised concerns about slower economic growth potentially weakening oil demand. The whipsaw action captures the energy market's struggle - caught between actual supply disruptions (Kazakhstan, Black Sea issues, U.S. seizures of Venezuela-linked tankers) and demand fears from trade war escalation.

After the worst annual performance since 2020, oil's bouncing between supply shocks and demand worries like a tennis ball, with analysts still projecting WTI staying range-bound between $55-$65 through Q1.

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🤖 Tech Sector Rotation Continues as Small Caps Outperform

Wednesday's rally featured an interesting subplot that continued into Thursday's open - small caps are having a moment. The Russell 2000 outpaced the S&P 500 for the 12th consecutive session Wednesday, flirting with a streak that would match levels last seen in June 2008. This rotation suggests money managers are looking beyond the Magnificent Seven, which spent much of 2025 underperforming the broader index despite their AI-driven narratives.

The shift toward smaller companies reflects a market that's rediscovering diversification. After three straight years of double-digit S&P gains driven largely by mega-cap tech, capital appears to be spreading across sectors that spent 2024-2025 in the shadows. Whether this rotation has staying power or represents a temporary blip remains an open question.

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💵 Treasury Yields Hold Steady Despite European Bond Selloff

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield jumped to around 4.29% earlier this week, reaching its highest level since August as a global bond sell-off triggered by heavy selling in Japanese government debt rippled across markets. The spike reflects multiple pressures converging at once - concerns about Fed independence following the criminal investigation announcement involving Chair Powell, worries about European nations potentially selling U.S. Treasury holdings, and escalating trade tensions over Greenland.

That Danish pension fund making headlines for closing its $100 million Treasury position has bond traders noting that more institutions might follow suit, which could push yields even higher. CNBC data shows the 10-year opened Thursday around 4.29%, while shorter-term yields also remain elevated. The yield surge comes as Trump threatened eight European allies with escalating tariffs starting at 10% on February 1 and rising to 25% by June 1 unless an agreement is reached on Greenland - plus a threatened 200% tariff on French wine and champagne.

Thursday also brings the delayed December PCE inflation report - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - which analysts expect will provide fresh clues about the central bank's next moves. With geopolitical tensions easing slightly and earnings season providing corporate clarity, the Treasury market's found a temporary equilibrium even if it's an uneasy one.

📌 Bottom Line

Thursday opened with markets exhaling after Trump's Davos reassurances that military force over Greenland is off the table - at least for now.

Earnings season's providing the next narrative as corporate America weighs in on Q4 performance and 2026 guidance, while commodity markets split between precious metals euphoria and energy sector shrugs.

With Treasury yields elevated, Fed policy uncertain, and geopolitical tensions simmering rather than boiling, Thursday's trade represents a market trying to figure out what comes next - one earnings report and one Trump tweet at a time.

🔥 What’s Heating Up This Week

Markets are moving - here's whats heating up with our partners:

✌️ Thanks for vibing with us.

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