🛟 Nvidia Just Saved the Day (And Maybe Your Portfolio)

Well, well, well - looks like Jensen Huang just pulled off another mic drop.

Author

Jason Paloma
November 20, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 16 minutes

😎 Market Vibes

🛟 Nvidia Just Saved the Day (And Maybe Your Portfolio)

Well, well, well - looks like Jensen Huang just pulled off another mic drop. After days of watching tech stocks get absolutely pummeled, Nvidia stepped up to the plate last night and delivered earnings that have futures lighting up green like a Christmas tree. The chipmaker crushed expectations with $57 billion in Q3 revenue and guided Q4 to $65 billion - about $3 billion more than Wall Street's wildest dreams.

And get this: Blackwell sales are "off the charts" according to Huang, with cloud GPUs completely sold out. That's not corporate speak for "we're doing okay" - that's a victory lap. Nasdaq futures are up 2%, S&P futures jumped 1.6%, and suddenly everyone's remembering why they fell in love with AI stocks in the first place.

Meanwhile, over in crypto land, Bitcoin's still nursing its wounds around $92,000 after that brutal dip below $90K earlier this week. The crypto crowd went from "Bitcoin to $150K!" to "uh, maybe we should check the fundamentals" faster than you can say "seven-month low."

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❤️‍🩹 Oil's Quiet Recovery and Gold's Technical Correction

While everyone's obsessing over Nvidia, let's talk about what's happening in commodities because it's actually pretty interesting. WTI crude has been creeping higher, trading around $59.78 per barrel after bouncing off that $58 floor. Brent's holding near $63.69. Not exactly fireworks, but considering the oversupply fears and Russia-Ukraine drama, this recovery deserves some credit.

Gold took a breather from its monster rally, pulling back from recent highs above $4,200 to trade around $4,000-$4,050 per ounce. After gaining roughly 50% year-to-date and briefly touching $4,380 in mid-October, a technical correction was inevitable. But here's the thing - every dip is getting bought. That tells you everything about where investor confidence really sits.

The interesting part? This isn't panic selling in gold - it's profit-taking after an absolute moonshot. Meanwhile, energy's trying to find its footing as the market weighs weak global demand against supply disruptions from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries. It's a tug-of-war that's keeping prices range-bound but stable.

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The “Other” AI Revolution

Most people think AI is just about chatbots and semiconductors. But Alexander Green says another branch of artificial intelligence – one that works in a completely different way – could be just as, if not more, disruptive. A little-known company at the center of it has already attracted some of the smartest backers in Silicon Valley. And Alex believes it could be on the cusp of widespread adoption. In fact, he’s so convinced that he’s scooped up thousands of shares with his own money. Watch his short presentation here.

🏠 Fed Minutes Show a House Divided

Remember when everyone was absolutely certain the Fed would cut rates in December? Yeah, about that. Yesterday's Fed minutes from the October meeting revealed a committee that's basically having an identity crisis. Officials are split between worrying about sticky inflation versus a softening labor market - like trying to decide whether you're more afraid of fire or ice.

Here's where it gets interesting: "Many" officials expressed skepticism about cutting rates further in 2025, and "several" said a December cut might be appropriate IF the economy behaves. That's Fed-speak for "we have no idea what we're doing and we're buying time." Market probability for a December cut has collapsed from over 90% a month ago to around 45-50% now according to CME FedWatch.

Tomorrow's September jobs report (finally!) might provide some clarity, but with expectations for just 50,000 jobs added, nobody's holding their breath for fireworks. The data vacuum from the government shutdown has left everyone flying blind, and the Fed's clearly uncomfortable making moves without solid intel.

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✂️ Target Cuts Guidance, Walmart Raises the Bar

Retail's telling two very different stories right now. Target slashed its full-year earnings guidance after reporting Q3 results, now expecting EPS between $7-$8 versus the previous $7-$9 range. The culprit? Choppy consumer spending and deal-hungry shoppers who apparently only pull out their wallets when they see a red clearance tag. Target shares dropped over 1% as observers processed what this means heading into the critical holiday season.

Then there's Walmart, which basically walked in like the cool kid and showed everyone how it's done. The retail giant beat on both profit and sales for Q3 and actually raised its full-year forecasts. While Target's struggling with fussy consumers, Walmart's massive scale and value positioning are printing money. The divergence is fascinating - same economy, same consumers, wildly different results.

What this tells us: Americans are still spending, but they're being surgical about WHERE they spend. Luxury and mid-tier retailers are feeling pain. Value players are thriving. And if you're trying to read consumer health heading into Black Friday, worth noting that this market's nuanced as hell.

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💼 Markets Digest Jobs Data Ahead, Nvidia Lifts All Boats

As we head into the opening bell, S&P futures are pointing to gains around 1.3-1.6%, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the charge higher on that Nvidia-induced euphoria. The Dow's playing catch-up with a more modest 0.7% futures gain, but hey, green is green. Yesterday's action saw the S&P 500 and Dow finally break a four-day losing streak, and today's looking to extend that bounce.

But let's not get too carried away. We're still down for the week, still below those late-October highs, and still waiting for meaningful clarity on the jobs picture and Fed direction. Tomorrow brings the September nonfarm payrolls report (expectations: 50,000 jobs added), which should be... underwhelming at best. The real question is whether Nvidia's blowout performance is enough to keep this rally going or if reality sets back in once the earnings glow fades.

One thing's for sure - volatility isn't going anywhere. The VIX is still elevated around 23, Bitcoin's struggling to hold key support levels, and sector rotation is in full effect as money sloshes between growth, value, and defensive plays. Translation: buckle up, because this ride's far from over.

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🎬 Bottom Line

Nvidia just reminded everyone why it's the king of the AI kingdom, guiding significantly higher for Q4 and claiming Blackwell demand is "off the charts." That single-handedly sparked a futures rally that has tech stocks breathing a sigh of relief after getting hammered for days. But don't mistake one great earnings report for an all-clear signal - the Fed's still playing coy about December rate cuts, jobs data tomorrow looks tepid at best, and Bitcoin's nursing a seven-month low around $92K.

Retail's painting a mixed picture with Target cutting guidance while Walmart raises it, proving that consumer spending is alive but extremely selective. Oil's grinding higher on supply concerns, gold's taking a breather after its historic 50% YTD rally, and volatility remains the name of the game. Translation: stay nimble, watch those support levels, and don't chase anything that's already made the CNBC highlight reel - by then, the move's probably already happened.

🔥 What’s Heating Up This Week

Markets are moving - here's whats heating up with our partners:

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