Oil steadies as Trump-Putin summit looms

😎 Market Vibes

Monday Mood Check: Markets are playing it cool while the world gets weird. Futures are green but barely, chip companies are paying Uncle Sam for the privilege of selling to China, and Bitcoin just casually strolled past $122K like it owns the place. Meanwhile, Trump's scheduling peace talks after his ultimatum flopped, and a single expired mining permit just reminded everyone how fragile our EV supply chains really are. Just another Monday in 2025 - where nothing makes sense but everything somehow still works.

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🎢 Volatile but vibing

• 📈 Futures flashing green but barely - Dow up 0.2%, S&P flat, Nasdaq +0.1% as traders position for another potential record-breaking week. Markets are basically warming up before the main event.

• 💻 Chip giants pay to play - Nvidia and AMD agreed to pay 15% of China chip revenues to the US government for export licenses, sending both stocks lower premarket. Nothing says "free trade" like a revenue sharing agreement with Uncle Sam.

• ⚡ Lithium prices rocket on supply shock - CATL suspended production at its major Jianxiawo lithium mine for at least 3 months after a mining permit expired. EV bulls are celebrating while automakers just felt their battery costs spike.

• 🛢️ Oil steadies as Trump-Putin summit looms - Crude holds around $67 as Trump announced an August 15 Alaska meeting with Putin to discuss Ukraine ceasefire. Markets are cooling off supply disruption fears while traders parse geopolitical tea leaves.

• ₿ Bitcoin doing Bitcoin things - Bitcoin surged 3.3% to cross $122K, sitting just 1% shy of its all-time high. It's like crypto's daily alarm clock - wakes up, flirts with records, and dares you to FOMO in.

💸 Trade Talk

Here's what you need to know: Nvidia and AMD agreed to pay the US government 15% of their China AI chip revenues in exchange for export licenses - a first-of-its-kind arrangement that has legal experts raising constitutional concerns. The deal affects Nvidia's H20 chips and AMD's MI308 chips specifically designed for the Chinese market.

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🧠 Big Brain Energy

CATL's suspended mine accounts for roughly 5% of the world's primary lithium supply and 20% of China's supply.

When one expired permit can shake up global EV supply chains, maybe we should rethink putting all our lithium eggs in one regulatory basket.

🧨The Outrage Meter

Trump is meeting Putin in Alaska on August 15 after his Friday ceasefire deadline came and went with zero Russian compliance. The art of the deal apparently includes threatening "land swaps" - except Ukraine already rejected giving up any territory. Meanwhile, oil markets are pricing in peace that may never come. Nothing says "maximum pressure" like scheduling a friendly summit after your ultimatum fails.

🤔What Do You Think?

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