🏇Tech's Wild Ride Continues

😎 Market Vibes

🏇Tech's Wild Ride Continues: Markets Open Mixed After Friday's Whipsaw

If last week felt like riding a mechanical bull at a honky-tonk, buckle up - because Tuesday's starting with the same energy drink-fueled vibe. The S&P 500 opened around 6,974 this morning after closing Monday at 6,964, while the Dow kicked off near 50,193 and the Nasdaq's hovering around 23,271. Translation: We're treading water while everyone waits for Wednesday's jobs report like it's the season finale of their favorite show.

Friday's 4% tech rally was the trading equivalent of chugging three espressos and immediately regretting it - thrilling in the moment, but leaving everyone jittery about what comes next. The VIX hit two-month highs last week, proving that volatility is back and it brought its entire extended family for the visit.

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😓 Bitcoin's Below-$70K Blues

Today Bitcoin is trading around $70,000 - still respectable by most standards, but down from its glory days faster than your New Year's resolutions disappeared. Ethereum's hanging around $2,000, which is basically saying "I'm fine" while clearly not being fine. The crypto market's correction has wiped out about $467 billion in market cap.

The interesting part? Institutional players aren't panicking. BlackRock's still moving Bitcoin and Ethereum to Coinbase Prime, and Goldman Sachs disclosed $1.6 billion in Bitcoin ETFs - up 120% in one quarter.

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💰 Gold Hits $5,000: The Flight to Safety Gets Expensive

If you thought gold was pricey before, strap in. The shiny stuff crossed $5,000 per ounce on Monday and opened Tuesday around $5,070. That's up over $2,000 from a year ago, making gold one of the year's best performers while tech stocks throw their tantrum. Silver's riding shotgun near $80 per troy ounce - up from $32 a year ago.

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💪 Small Caps Flex While Big Tech Sulks

Here's your underdog story of the week: The Russell 2000 posted 3.5% gains and is up 7.5% year-to-date, absolutely dunking on the S&P 500's 1.1%. Small caps' outperformance suggests the domestic economy's got some muscle, since these companies sell more goods at home than their multinational cousins. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq-100 fell 2% last week and is now down two weeks in a row, sulking in the corner like a teenager who just got grounded.

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💼 Wednesday's Jobs Report: The Main Event Approaches

All roads lead to Wednesday's nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show about 70,000 new jobs - relatively soft by historical standards. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, warned on CNBC about possibly weaker jobs numbers, which is like your doctor calling before your appointment to say "brace yourself."

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said last Friday it may be necessary to cut rates once or twice to support the labor market, which is Fed-speak for "yeah, things are cooling off." Friday's inflation data will complete the one-two punch of economic releases that could shape the Fed's next moves.

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🐌 Earnings Season Slows Down: The Calm Before More Data

Earnings are taking a breather this week, but we've still got some heavy hitters stepping up to the plate. Cisco and Applied Materials will give us tech demand clues, while consumer bellwethers like Coca-Cola, McDonald's, and Ford will tell us if Americans are still spending or if they're finally tightening their belts.

So far, earnings season's been solid: 79% of S&P 500 companies beat earnings expectations, 65% beat on revenue, with earnings per share growth at 13.6%. That's the kind of report card that gets you on the honor roll, even if it doesn't quite earn you valedictorian. The question is whether this momentum can continue as we move deeper into 2026 and companies start dealing with whatever economic curveballs get thrown their way.

📌 Bottom Line

Tuesday's shaping up as a holding pattern while everyone waits for Wednesday's jobs data. Markets are mixed, crypto's consolidating, gold's at record highs, and small caps are quietly showing strength while mega-cap tech figures out its next move.

The two data drops of the jobs report and inflation data this week will tell us whether we're headed for more Fed rate cuts or if we're stuck in this "higher for longer" purgatory. Either way, buckle up - February's volatility is just getting started.

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✌️ Thanks for vibing with us.

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