⏳ The Fed's About to Move - Markets Hold Their Breath

The Fed kicks off its two-day December meeting this week...

Author

Jason Paloma
December 08, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 16 minutes

😎 Market Vibes

⏳ The Fed's About to Move - Markets Hold Their Breath

Grab your coffee and buckle up. The Fed kicks off its two-day December meeting this week, and Wall Street is pricing in an 85-90% chance of a quarter-point rate cut on Wednesday. The S&P 500 opened around 6,875, the Dow near 47,971, and the Nasdaq at 23,638 - all hovering near recent highs as traders play the waiting game. But here's the twist: it's not the cut everyone's watching, it's what Jerome Powell says after the cut. Will he hint at more cuts in 2026, or will he pull the classic "hawkish cut" and slam the brakes on future easing? Either way, volatility is brewing.

The market's already had its warm-up act. Stocks just logged their second straight weekly gain, with the S&P and the Nasdaq inching up last week. But bond yields? They're twitching like a caffeinated squirrel, rising over 10 basis points on Friday alone as investors fret about what "near neutral" rates actually mean.

[sponsored]
Our partners at ProsperityPub are warning that the recent government shutdown proved one thing… It’s more important than ever to tune out of the noise and zero in on what’s actually moving the market. And while most traders are reacting to headlines, history shows the market is quietly setting up for another rip up in the next few months. And missing this rally because of the noise can cost you.

That’s why the New Money Crew – Graham Lindman, Lance Ippolito, and Nate Tucci – use their decades of experience in the markets to show traders like you what really matters in today’s market. Every day, they track the top 3-5 stocks based on scanning historical data in real time and send the #1 trade from that hit list directly to their inner circle. Tap here to get today’s scans and the #1 trade setup.

[sponsored]

$3,200 from your phone?

A market insider just revealed a remarkable new way to potentially double your money using just your smartphone. Forget stocks. Forget crypto. And forget spending hours analyzing charts. With Jeff Clark's "Crossfire" method, all you need to do is make some moves on your phone, and you're done. With this exact strategy, you could have recently turned $1,000 into $3,200, in just seven days. He's now sharing exactly how you can replicate this strategy starting right now, for free. Tap here to learn this powerful strategy now.

📈 Bitcoin Bounces Back Above $91K - But Is It Real?

Bitcoin clawed its way back above $91,000 this morning, trading around $91,271 as crypto bulls bet that Fed rate cuts will juice risk assets. The logic? Lower rates weaken the dollar and make speculative plays like crypto more attractive. Plus, the Fed ending quantitative tightening on December 1st removed a key liquidity drain, which has crypto enthusiasts doing victory laps on Twitter.

But let's pump the brakes for a second. Bitcoin is still down roughly 25-30% from its October peak above $126,000. And while short-term traders are celebrating this bounce, on-chain data tells a different story. Exchange whale ratios remain elevated, meaning big holders are still moving coins to exchanges. Long-term holders? They've been in distribution mode for over six months. Durable bottoms don't form when whales are selling - they form when they're buying.

[sponsored]
Our partners at Decentralized Masters have been tracking something most retail investors completely miss: the Native Markets. These are the hidden markets where institutions buy crypto for pennies before it ever hits Coinbase. When these assets finally list on mainstream exchanges, retail pays 10-50x more for the exact same tokens.

Tan Gera, former Wall Street CFA and investment banker, built a complete 3-phase system that gives everyday investors the same institutional access. Over 4,000 members with $4B+ in combined net worth now use the ABN Wealth System.

[sponsored]

Download: A Proven Options Strategy Built for Everyday Traders

Whether you’re just getting started or looking to sharpen your current approach, this free resource walks through:

  • A repeatable daily strategy built around Wall Street’s closing bell

  • How to target consistent, structured opportunities using SPX & XSP options

  • Lance’s clear, rules-based framework that requires less time and less guesswork

It’s practical, straightforward, and doesn’t require a huge account to get started.

🏆 Gold Holds Steady Above $4,200 - Fed Bets Keep It Shiny

Gold is trading just above $4,200 per ounce this morning, holding near recent highs as traders position ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. The yellow metal has been on an absolute tear in 2025, logging multiple all-time highs throughout the year. The playbook here is simple: if the Fed cuts rates and signals more easing ahead, gold gets more attractive as a non-yielding asset. If Powell turns hawkish? Gold could see a quick pullback.

But zoom out, and the long-term picture for gold remains compelling. Central banks have been gorging on gold reserves, geopolitical tensions show no signs of cooling (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East chaos), and inflation - while moderating - is still above the Fed's 2% target at 2.8%. The copper-to-gold ratio just hit its lowest level on record, suggesting investors are favoring safe havens over industrial metals.

[sponsored]
The value of the dollar is under pressure. Inflation continues to erode purchasing power, and traditional savings vehicles like 401(k)s and IRAs remain tied to a volatile stock market that can lose value overnight. That’s why many Americans are already taking action.

Our partners at Preserve Gold make it simple to learn your options. Right now, they’re offering a Free Precious Metals Guide designed to help everyday Americans understand:

  • How gold and silver can serve as a hedge against economic uncertainty

  • How to roll over retirement accounts into a Precious Metals IRA, tax and penalty-free

  • The long-term benefits of holding tangible, value-backed assets

But knowledge is just the beginning. When you open a Gold IRA with Preserve Gold, you could also receive up to $15,000 in free physical gold or silver with a qualified purchase.

📈 Oil Creeps Higher - Fed Cuts and Asian Demand Drive the Rally

Crude oil is trading near $60 per barrel for WTI and just under $64 for Brent this morning, hovering near two-week highs. The bounce comes courtesy of three factors: Fed rate cut expectations (lower rates = weaker dollar = higher commodity prices), strong demand signals from India and China, and ongoing geopolitical risks around Russian supply.

Here's the thing: oil is trading like a macro asset again, not just on supply-demand fundamentals. Futures markets are giving the Fed's rate cut an 89% probability, and that's enough to keep crude supported in the short term. But zoom out, and the picture gets messier. Analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia see Brent falling toward $60 through 2026 as oversupply kicks in. The International Energy Agency is forecasting global oil demand growth under a million barrels per day in 2025 - a steep drop from the two million barrel increase in 2023.

Translation? This bounce might be short-lived if supply continues to overwhelm demand. OPEC+ could possibly roll back voluntary cuts, which would flood the market with even more oil. Add in new production from the U.S., Canada, Guyana, and Brazil, and you've got a classic supply glut scenario brewing.

[sponsored]
Wall Street legend Larry Benedict warned about the oil crash in 2022 before oil lost 50% of its value. Today, he’s making another big call in energy. While everyone is focusing on crypto, NVIDIA, and the rest of the Magnificent Seven, he believes one little-known company has a virtual stranglehold on the only real option to power the AI boom. Click here for details.

[sponsored]

[EXPOSED] Little-known Bitcoin “Loophole”

On November 10th, 2022 … Jeffry Turnmire called the exact bottom of Bitcoin and now it’s up over +300%! Now he believes we’re on the cusp of an even BIGGER opportunity. At the Bitcoin Conference over the summer, Trump said he’d lay out a plan "to ensure that the United States will be the crypto capital of the planet and the Bitcoin superpower of the world." These powerful catalysts combined with a unique “Bitcoin loophole” have Jeffry giddy with excitement. Because he's found a way to target crypto-like gains—every single month—without touching a single risky coin!

Go to this page to see exactly how this “loophole” works…
By clicking the link above you agree to periodic updates from ProsperityPub and its partners (privacy policy)

🦾 Tech Earnings and Oracle's Big Week Ahead

Speaking of what's ahead, this week isn't just about the Fed. We've got a packed earnings calendar with Oracle (ORCL) and Adobe (ADBE) reporting on Wednesday, followed by Broadcom (AVGO) and Costco (COST) on Thursday. Oracle's results will be particularly interesting given the AI spending narrative that's dominated markets all year. Market observers note that enterprise software demand is holding up, though questions remain about whether AI-related capital expenditures are starting to cannibalize traditional software budgets.

Broadcom, meanwhile, is the AI hardware darling that's up an estimated 65-68% year-to-date in 2025 - yes, you read that right. The stock has become a proxy for AI chip demand, with AI semiconductor revenue hitting $5.2 billion in Q3, up 63% year-over-year. The company reports Thursday, and analysts are modeling Q4 AI semiconductor revenue at $6.2 billion, up 66% year-over-year. Any disappointment in guidance could trigger a sector-wide pullback. Remember, tech stocks are priced for perfection right now. The Nasdaq is sitting near all-time highs, and any cracks in the AI spending story could get ugly fast.

On the economic calendar, we're getting delayed JOLTS data on Tuesday (October job openings, quits, and layoffs) and the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday - better known as the "dot plot." That little chart showing where Fed officials think rates are headed? It's going to move markets more than the actual rate decision. If the median dot shows fewer cuts than expected in 2026, analysts expect bond yields to spike and stocks to wobble.

[sponsored]
Our partners at StockEarnings just uncovered three hidden players perfectly positioned for the next phase of AI growth… These aren’t speculative moonshots… They’re profitable, scalable, and essential to AI’s future.

Click here for more info.
(**By clicking this link you agree to receive emails from StockEarnings and our affiliates. You can opt out at any time.  Privacy Policy. **)

🎬 Bottom Line: Powell's Press Conference Is the Main Event

Let's cut through the noise. The Fed has a good chance of cutting rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday… What matters is the tone. Will Powell frame this as a "mid-cycle adjustment" and hint at a pause? Or will he keep the door open for more cuts if the labor market continues to soften? The bond market is already pricing in the possibility that Powell turns hawkish, which is why yields have been climbing.

For equities, the setup is tricky. Stocks are near record highs, the VIX is around 16.15, and market observers note that investor sentiment is frothy. That's a recipe for either a melt-up if Powell stays dovish, or a sharp correction if he disappoints. Bitcoin, gold, and oil are all trading on Fed expectations too, so Wednesday's press conference will ripple across every asset class.

Wednesday morning might be a better entry point than Monday pre-market for those watching positioning. The only thing certain right now? Volatility is coming.

🔥 What’s Heating Up This Week

Markets are moving - here's whats heating up with our partners:

✌️ Thanks for vibing with us.

⚠️ WARNING: Market data is subject to rapid change. Verify current information before making trading decisions.

DISCLAIMER: Stocks and options trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the stocks and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell stocks or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in the linked report. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc., discussed in the linked report are for illustrative purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations. Information contained in this correspondence is intended for informational purposes only and was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. For full disclaimer information, click here.